Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 65.868904 74.504320 83.360461 93.089440 103.445393 114.109695 125.891977
2025-07-20 53.679692 66.171801 79.580357 94.909246 111.821856 129.796710 150.232061
2025-07-27 45.135715 59.577364 75.632199 94.527936 115.903001 139.104813 165.973120
2025-08-03 38.342213 54.009816 72.002662 93.731703 118.841272 146.576658 179.175680
2025-08-10 33.630451 50.288358 69.983531 94.301754 122.907524 154.956477 193.073754
2025-08-17 29.098562 46.292006 67.228249 93.644170 125.245811 161.120230 204.249289
2025-08-24 25.678468 43.342801 65.452097 93.897006 128.433004 168.084531 216.190776
2025-08-31 22.182691 39.946625 62.842622 92.897229 129.934141 172.934087 225.566690
2025-09-07 20.057741 38.198334 62.165907 94.147412 134.029345 180.739584 238.307228
2025-09-14 18.302418 36.796356 61.810969 95.697722 138.410932 188.828806 251.342622
2025-09-21 15.913577 34.239984 59.749521 94.931426 139.832887 193.309178 260.070859
2025-09-28 13.358782 31.160929 56.776569 92.818037 139.445321 195.511569 266.016731
2025-10-05 12.759361 31.126517 58.034009 96.293019 146.137203 206.364867 282.381336
2025-10-12 11.774639 30.369197 58.212569 98.301145 150.960831 214.953271 296.064722
2025-10-19 10.223288 28.486858 56.656253 97.887291 152.627042 219.631893 305.019110
2025-10-26 8.742257 26.541280 54.881734 97.078759 153.711583 223.541643 313.006808
2025-11-02 7.746277 25.354920 54.161061 97.659843 156.553699 229.596560 323.575788
2025-11-09 6.583921 23.686125 52.598999 96.988887 157.701466 233.503913 331.504268
2025-11-16 5.733206 22.515666 51.735883 97.246892 160.032219 238.863966 341.191337
2025-11-23 4.745299 20.882738 50.032104 96.226574 160.609486 241.980579 348.099082
2025-11-30 4.247246 20.265698 49.937185 97.502432 164.239131 248.943991 359.741822
2025-12-07 3.841678 19.802949 50.065412 99.084382 168.271125 256.416692 372.020298
2025-12-14 3.142005 18.461526 48.629387 98.302474 169.063912 259.739828 379.144517